(I was typing this out earlier, and my cat stepped on the keyboard, posting it prematurely. I fixed it now, though)
I do these privately every year, and recently I’ve been getting these wrong more and more often. Last year I didn’t even have Bogeyman or Animalia in the top 15, since they were so unusual compared to past entrants. I also though Cannery Vale or Erstwhile would take 2nd.
So this is probably garbage. It’s also compounded by the fact that two very good games (Turandot and Robotsexpartymurder have explicit sexual content in parts, which has been received favorably before (such as in Midnight. Swordfight.) but which may throw a wrench in things.
These predictions aren’t based on quality (I think Skybreak is winner-quality but won’t be first due to Adrift being a little difficult to operate) or personal preference (I loved Language Arts but expect it to place lower).
A polished, long parser(ish) comedy with good NPCs has won every year that such a game was entered. So I expect Zozzled to win (or possibly, Chuk and the Arena).
After the comedy, some dark or dramatic game inevitably takes 2nd. The most polished and long dark games are Heretic’s Hope, Turandot, and The Good People (or possibly Skybreak! or RobotSexPartyMurder)
After that, comedic Twine games generally post good scores, and I expect Chuk and the Arena and Dungeon Detective 2 to be up there.
Then all the other comedy parser games go, and then all the other high-quality, easily accessible games.So these are the general orders of placement I expect:
Heretic’s Hope/Turandot/The Good People
Chuk and the Arena/Dungeon Detective 2/Skybreak!
Enceladus/Limerick Heist/Night Guard-Morning Star
Dull Grey/Skies Above/Black Sheep/Truck Quest/Poppet/Robotsexpartymurder/Very Vile Fairy File
My predictions are wrong every year. There’s a good chance that I’ll get none of these right. I just wanted to throw it out there!
For reference, here are my predictions from last year:
Alias the Magpie/Canneryvale/Erstwhile
Junior Arithmancer/Terminal Interface/Tethered
Lux/ Re:Dragon/ Grimnoir/Dynamite Powers/Madame Time/Master of the Land/En Garde/diddlebucker
Urs/Temple of Shorgil
And the year before that:
- Eat Me/Wizard Sniffer
- Will not Let me Go/Harmonia
- The wand/The Owl Consults
- Domestic Elementalism
- 1958 /A Beauty Cold and Austere
- Transient Skies
- Harbinger/Rainbow Bridge/Ultimate Escape Room-IF City/Alice Aforethought/Fake News
(not including my own game, Absence of Law).